Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-10 10.353039 11.938479 13.640326 15.597705 17.781333 20.136919 22.864544
2025-08-17 7.888936 9.955629 12.336046 15.260374 18.734633 22.708203 27.573036
2025-08-24 6.394023 8.658316 11.411760 14.965999 19.388101 24.662390 31.377648
2025-08-31 5.244196 7.560620 10.514955 14.494541 19.642741 26.000706 34.359239
2025-09-07 4.571624 6.961942 10.138683 14.575578 20.505548 28.042222 38.212036
2025-09-14 4.009485 6.427923 9.767404 14.588677 21.224736 29.877379 41.824619
2025-09-21 3.593408 6.041695 9.543154 14.752027 22.112458 31.928993 45.758810
2025-09-28 3.194808 5.628700 9.230582 14.745380 22.735050 33.619732 49.244854
2025-10-05 2.955010 5.428280 9.200884 15.124423 23.893690 36.060281 53.806834
2025-10-12 2.715270 5.198030 9.099092 15.375709 24.862369 38.254735 58.086512
2025-10-19 2.466877 4.923562 8.900070 15.454775 25.565501 40.082239 61.895500
2025-10-26 2.151474 4.496517 8.417896 15.053362 25.514616 40.807252 64.144093
2025-11-02 1.889286 4.136081 8.017207 14.756502 25.610403 41.755824 66.762827
2025-11-09 1.654664 3.797171 7.621048 14.433730 25.638512 42.591786 69.231261
2025-11-16 1.455708 3.500456 7.268930 14.152594 25.705068 43.470590 71.770803
2025-11-23 1.257245 3.177567 6.838643 13.702446 25.464311 43.855345 73.562897
2025-11-30 1.151129 3.032056 6.719245 13.779813 26.083881 45.580601 77.425185
2025-12-07 1.047916 2.879015 6.571039 13.792318 26.588396 47.133196 81.057199
2025-12-14 0.971002 2.774396 6.506267 13.948279 27.336833 49.089392 85.360648
2025-12-21 0.884289 2.635264 6.360268 13.941933 27.799832 50.594684 88.991076
2025-12-28 0.841324 2.594943 6.410126 14.303883 28.916068 53.188434 94.402543
2026-01-04 0.790172 2.527633 6.397844 14.543879 29.822427 55.459899 99.352294
2026-01-11 0.729042 2.426438 6.304875 14.619398 30.433388 57.255192 103.576138